Republican Marco Rubio leads Democrat Val Demings by 7 points in his search for a third term in the United States Senate representing Florida in the November elections, according to a poll published this Wednesday.
The politician, of Cuban origin, leads the voting intention, with 49%, by 42% of the Democratic congresswoman, his presumable rival in the elections, according to a survey by the Mason-Dixon firm.
The survey shows the trend already reflected by others carried out in recent months, and, according to the RealClear Politics portal, which averages voting intention polls, the Republican’s advantage would be 8.3 percentage points.
Rubio, who was a candidate to be the Republican candidate for the White House in the 2016 elections, has held the seat in the Upper House since 2010, while Demings has been a congressman from Florida since 2017.
The result of the Senate elections could be vital for the development of the mandate of President Joe Biden since it is currently divided 50% between Republicans and Democrats, although the president of the Upper House is the vice president, Kamala Harris, who has the capacity to resolve ties.
However, a shift in favor of the conservatives in this balance after the elections of the 34 of the 100 seats that are up for grabs in November could make it very difficult for Biden and the Democrats to push through their legislative measures.
Today’s poll shows again the favoritism of Floridians for the conservatives, after this Tuesday the same firm pointed out that the state governor, Ron DeSantis, would successfully get re-election by beating his three possible Democratic rivals.
The Republican currently has 51% voting intention, or more, in the event of an electoral contest against Congressman Charlie Crist, Florida Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried, or State Senator Annette Taddeo.
Rubio is the preferred candidate among male and white voters (58% to Demings’ 35%, both), and among Hispanic voters (44% to 39%).
The Republican leads in almost the entire state, except precisely southeast Florida, where the Cuban-born politician is from.
By contrast, Demings is the most named candidate among black voters, like her, (82% vs. 7% for Rubio) and women (48-41%).
The Mason-Dixon poll of the voting preference between Rubio and Demings was conducted by telephone with 625 registered voters and has a margin of error of 4 points.