Golden Globes 2023 predictions: Who will win – and who should?

The Golden Globes 2023 are trying to make a comeback with Jerrod Carmichael as their host and maybe some winners who will be liked by both the industry and the public.

On Thursday, January 12, nomination voting for the Academy Awards will start. This is the second part of the film awards season. During this part of the awards season for movies, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association has some power over its winners. With eight nominations, “The Banshees of Inisherin,” an Irish comedy from Searchlight Pictures, is in the lead. “Everything, Everywhere, All at Once,” from A24, is right behind it with six nominations. The competition for best picture, which can be a comedy or a musical, will be one of the most heated of the night.

On the drama side, “The Fabelmans” from Universal Pictures might be an easy choice for best picture (drama), but many HFPA voters like “Elvis” from Warner Bros. and “Top Gun: Maverick” from Paramount Pictures.

On TV, the HFPA loves freshman episodes and has only rarely chosen the “coronation” story as the ending. In this spot, “House of the Dragon” on HBO or “Severance” on Apple could win the drama races. In comedy, “Abbott Elementary” on ABC or “The Bear” on FX could be the sleeper picks.

Read Variety’s descriptions of each film and TV category before the Golden Globe Awards on January 10. Also, make sure to listen to Marc Malkin and Elizabeth Wagmeister as they host the live pre-show for Variety on the red carpet.

On the Variety website, go to the Oscars Hub to see the most up-to-date standings in each category. Don’t forget to add the 2022-2023 Awards Season calendar to your bookmarks so you don’t miss any of the important dates and events.

Golden Globe Award Predictions Who should win the film and TV races in 2023, and who will win?

After what seemed like an endless string of embarrassing reveals and frantic fixes that took more than two years, the Golden Globes are kind of, pretty much, maybe, kind of back.

This year, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association is hoping for a spectacular return to their former greatness.

“The curtain has been pulled back.” Will the Golden Globes be able to rise above the controversy?

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After the Hollywood Foreign Press Association was accused of many things, including racism, taking bribes, and giving The Tourist three nominations in 2010, the industry is now waiting to see if Tuesday’s ceremony will be enough to bring them back to their former glory. This is because last year’s ceremony didn’t have any big names or TV cameras.

Still, putting aside the question of whether or not anyone will or should watch, which of the candidates will or should win?

Best Film (Drama)

Golden Globes  2023
image source: google.com Golden Globes 2023

After the epidemic hit the box office for a short time, it took a while for things to get back to normal. This slow recovery has led to a debate about which movies will win awards this year. The award shows for this season will be held in the United States. Will there be a bigger push than usual to reward crowd-pleasing blockbusters to show how important they are in keeping so many people employed? The spectacular biopic hit Elvis, directed by Baz Luhrmann, could have made it into this category in any other year. However, it is less likely that Tom Cruise’s smash sequel Top Gun: Maverick would have been a contender, since it relied on spectacle at the expense of almost everything else. If this is how voters decide, the winner could be either the second film or James Cameron’s box office hit Avatar: The Way of Water, which keeps climbing the list of all-time highest grossing films. However, Tom Cruise’s public boycott of the Golden Globes could hurt his film’s chances of winning. But if I had to guess, I would say that the Hollywood Foreign Press Association would choose The Fabelmans, Steven Spielberg’s autobiographical tribute to movies. This movie may not have done well at the box office, but its theme about the power of film will send a similar message. The HFPA voters can’t figure out Todd Field’s complex character study Tár because of how complicated it is.

The Fabelmans will come out on top.

Tár should come out on top.

Empire of Light should have been in the running for a prize.

Best Actress (Drama)

Cate Blanchett gives the best performance of her career as a composer who is losing her moral compass. Some voters might not like Tár as a whole, but they will probably find it hard to say no to Cate Blanchett. As the character, she gives one of the best performances of all time. Blanchett has won three Golden Globes and been nominated for eight more. She even got nominated for the awful Where’d You Go, Bernadette, which is a sign of how much people love her. Most people agree that this is the best performance of her career, so it’s unlikely that the Hollywood Foreign Press Association will turn down the chance to add to her collection of awards. Blanchett has been so successful in the past few months that she has been able to win most of the critics’ circle awards. Most likely, Michelle Williams is her biggest rival for The Fabelmans, even though she hasn’t been in the news as much lately. Next up would be Viola Davis for The Woman King, which is the kind of strong, mainstream crowd-pleaser that the Golden Globes tend to like. Ana de Armas for Blonde and Olivia Colman for Empire of Light may be seen as the best parts of the movies they’re in, but that won’t be enough to win them the award for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama.

The award will go to Cate Blanchett and Tár.

The award should go to Cate Blanchett and Tár.

The award should have been given to Florence Pugh, who played The Wonder.

The Best Performer (Drama)

Male actors have had a notoriously bad year, with many strong contenders in the female category but very few in the male category. Compared to the women, the men have fallen behind by a long way. Since the actor who most people think will win best actor is also competing in the category for comedic or musical roles, I think there are two possible outcomes for this category. The first chance is that Brendan Fraser will win for his role in The Whale, which was directed by Darren Aronofsky. This is the kind of pre-packaged performance that voters have always liked to see at awards shows. Fraser, on the other hand, has spoken out against the Hollywood Foreign Press Association and a story about the former president groping a woman. Even if he hadn’t been criticised for not going to this year’s ceremony, the movie has been losing favour with many critics, who have pointed out its poor acting and creaky theatricality. He is not likely to show up at this year’s event. In the second, more likely scenario, Austin Butler wins for his role in the movie “Elvis,” which has become one of the most certain things about this year’s award season. Voters love movies about musicians like The Son, which stars Hugh Jackman, Living, which stars Bill Nighy, and The Inspection, which stars Jeremy Pope. This will make Butler’s path to the stage even easier.

Will win: Austin Butler, Elvis

The win should go to Austin Butler and Elvis.

Two movies that should have been nominated are Jack Lowden and Benediction.

Best Film (Comedy or Musical)

Martin McDonagh’s comedy about a bad friendship, The Banshees of Inisherin, has the most nominations. The Hollywood Foreign Press Association chose Three Billboards in the same year that the Academy didn’t, but I think the multiverse comedy Everything, Everywhere, All at Once will win the category and the night. Behind the jokes about buttplugs is a simple, and for many, uplifting, story about how important family is. It might seem like a better choice for the HFPA because it is more modern and up-to-date. It’s also more of a drama than a comedy, like a lot of other Globes winners for best comedy or musical. This brings up the question of how seriously comedy is taken at the Globes. At other places, Glass Onion might be called too silly, Babylon might be called too divided, and Triangle of Sadness might be called too strange.

Everything Everywhere Everywhere At Once will win.

The winner should be the Triangle of Sadness.

Brothers should have been considered for nomination.

Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)

Even though she didn’t win the Oscar for Best Actress, it’s nice to see that Emma Thompson’s performance as a woman trying to figure out her sexuality in the brilliantly honest movie Good Luck to You, Leo Grande is being recognised. She might have won the election if she had run a different campaign in a different year. But it looks like Everything, Everywhere, All at Once and Michelle Yeoh’s performance as the main character will continue to win awards. She is likely to become only the second woman of Asian descent to win in this category. There is a lot of support for her and the career that came before this one. Anya Taylor-Joy and Margot Robbie’s roles in Babylon and The Menu don’t deserve the award nearly as much as Lesley Manville’s Cinderella-like performance as Mrs. Harris. So, both of these actresses will have to be happy with smaller parts.

For her role in “Everything, Everywhere, All at Once,” Michelle Yeoh will come out on top.

Should take the prize home: Emma Thompson, I hope everything goes well for you, Leo Grande

Shoulda been nominated: Amandla Stenberg, Bodies, Bodies, Bodies

The Best Performer (Comedy or Musical)

Colin Farrell has earned the right to walk away with this award for his perfectly timed performance in “The Banshees of Inisherin.” This could be the category that is easiest to predict for the night. It’s in the category for comedies or musicals, but Farrell’s quieter and more emotional moments should help seal the deal. This will also help the HFPA reach its goal of having big awards go to big stars. Because he is the only nominee who is getting real award buzz outside of the Globes, he doesn’t really have any competition in this category. Other possible nominees, like Diego Calva from Babylon, Adam Driver from White Noise, Ralph Fiennes from The Menu, and Daniel Craig from Glass Onion, are not likely to be in the running for an Oscar.

Colin Farrell, for his work in The Banshees of Inisherin, will take home the award.

Colin Farrell is in The Banshees of Inisherin, and he should win an award for it.

Billy Eichner and the Brothers Snider should have been in the running.

The Best Supporting Actress or Actress

Angela Bassett has had a long and successful career, and Black Panther: Wakanda Forever has a strong off-screen emotional arc, so there is a real chance that she will win for her scene-stealing performance in the movie, but it will probably go to the other elder stateswoman in the category. Angela Bassett’s role in Black Panther: Wakanda Forever got her a nomination. Jamie Lee Curtis is one of the only nominees who is definitely going to be there. She will probably go on stage with her co-stars from Everything Everywhere All at Once, even though Stephanie Hsu should have been given the chance to act instead of her. Curtis has won two awards and been nominated for five more. Curtis was also notable because she was one of the only famous people to attend the ceremony via video last year, showing her support for the HFPA. Even though Kerry Condon, who plays a supporting character in The Banshees of Inisherin, is a shoe-in for an Oscar nomination for best supporting actress, she may not be able to compete for this award. Given that the movie didn’t do well in other countries, Carey Mulligan’s nomination for her role in She Said seems like a consolation prize, while Dolly de Leon’s nomination for her breakout role in Triangle of Sadness is a win in and of itself.

Will come out on top: Jamie Lee Curtis, because of her work on Everything, Everywhere, and All at Once

The first place should go to Dolly De Leon and Triangle of Sadness.

Judy Davis and Nitram should have been up for an award.

The Best Supporting Actor or Actress

Both Brendan Gleeson (who is arguably a lead) and Barry Keoghan for The Banshees of Inisherin have been nominated for this award. As a result, their nominations may very well cancel each other out. This does not happen very often. Eddie Redmayne’s performance in The Good Nurse, a movie that hasn’t been talked about much, won’t put him ahead of the pack. On the other hand, Brad Pitt was cast in Babylon mostly because he is Brad Pitt. In the end, HFPA and academy voters love a strong story, and Ke Huy Quan’s Everything Everywhere All at Once, which is the clear frontrunner for the award, probably has the best story of the year. He was a popular child star in the 1980s, but he had trouble finding work in the years that followed and eventually left the entertainment industry. But he was persuaded to come back for what turned out to be his best work. He played many roles well, and his emotional speeches at award shows (he’s already won a lot) will continue this week, as they always do.

With Everything Everywhere All at Once, Ke Huy Quan will come out on top.

“Everything Everywhere All at Once” by Ke Huy Quan is most likely to win.

Judd Hirsch and The Fabelmans would have been good choices.

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